0337/2025 - Fatores de risco para a Síndrome pós-COVID-19 em hospitalizados por Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave: revisão Sistemática e metanálise
Risk factors for Post-COVID Syndrome in patients hospitalized for severe acute respiratory syndrome: systematic review and meta-analysis
Autor:
• Alexandre Medeiros de Figueiredo - Figueiredo, AM - <potiguar77@gmail.com>ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1433-088X
Coautor(es):
• Sofia Ramos Soares - Soares, SR - <sofiaramossoares8@gmail.com>ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9845-964X
• Rafaela Santos Nogueira de Souza - Souza, RSN - <rafaela.nogueira@academico.ufpb.br>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-0805-955X
• Loreena Uchôa Lira Barros - Barros, LUL - <loreena.uchoa@academico.ufpb.br>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-9272-4126
• Felipe Miranda Camboim - Camboim, FM - <felipemirandacamboim@gmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-1569-7617
Resumo:
Introdução: Este estudo tem como objetivo identificar os fatores de risco associados ao desenvolvimento da síndrome pós-COVID-19 em egressos de internações por Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave. Metodologia: Foi realizada revisão sistemática de estudos observacionais publicados entre 2020 e 2023 em seis bases de dados. Os valores dos riscos relativos de cada fator investigado foram avaliados na metanálise através do modelo de efeitos aleatórios. Resultados: 1.010 publicações foram identificadas, sendo 45 estudos incluídos na análise qualitativa e sete estudos na metanálise. Estes estudos avaliaram a associação entre a síndrome pós-COVID-19 e fatores como a gravidade e o número de sintomas da doença na fase aguda, o sexo e comorbidades prévias. Os resultados apontaram que o sexo feminino (RR 1,52; IC 95% 1,26-1,85), a presença de hipertensão (RR 1,25; IC 95% 1,06-1,49) e um maior tempo de internação (RR 1,01; IC 95% 1.01-1,03) estavam associados ao desenvolvimento da síndrome. Conclusão: Egressos de internação por COVID-19 do sexo feminino, com maior tempo de internação e hipertensão deverão ser monitorados para identificar o desenvolvimento da síndrome pós-COVID-19, possibilitando intervenções em tempo oportuno.Palavras-chave:
Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda; fatores de risco; hospitalização; pacientes internados; Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave.Abstract:
Introduction: This study aims to identify the risk factors associated with the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome in patients discharged from hospitalizations due to severe acute respiratory syndrome. Methodology: A systematic review of observational studies published between 2020 and 2023 was carried out in six databases. The relative risk values of each factor investigated were evaluated in the meta-analysis using the random-effects model. Results: 1,010 publications were identified, with 45 studies included in the qualitative analysis and seven studies in the meta-analysis. These studies evaluated the association between post-COVID-19 syndrome and factors such as the severity and number of symptoms of the disease in the acute phase, sex, and previous comorbidities. The results showed that female gender (RR 1.52; 95% CI 1.26-1.85), the presence of hypertension (RR 1.25; 95% CI 1.06-1.49) and a longer hospital stay (RR 1.01; 95% CI 1.01-1.03) were associated with the development of the syndrome. Conclusion: Female patients discharged from hospital due to COVID-19, with longer hospital stays and hypertension should be monitored to identify the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome, enabling timely interventions.Keywords:
Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome; risk factors; hospitalization; inpatients; severe acute respiratory syndromeConteúdo:
Acessar Revista no ScieloOutros idiomas:
Risk factors for Post-COVID Syndrome in patients hospitalized for severe acute respiratory syndrome: systematic review and meta-analysis
Resumo (abstract):
Introduction: This study aims to identify the risk factors associated with the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome in patients discharged from hospitalizations due to severe acute respiratory syndrome. Methodology: A systematic review of observational studies published between 2020 and 2023 was carried out in six databases. The relative risk values of each factor investigated were evaluated in the meta-analysis using the random-effects model. Results: 1,010 publications were identified, with 45 studies included in the qualitative analysis and seven studies in the meta-analysis. These studies evaluated the association between post-COVID-19 syndrome and factors such as the severity and number of symptoms of the disease in the acute phase, sex, and previous comorbidities. The results showed that female gender (RR 1.52; 95% CI 1.26-1.85), the presence of hypertension (RR 1.25; 95% CI 1.06-1.49) and a longer hospital stay (RR 1.01; 95% CI 1.01-1.03) were associated with the development of the syndrome. Conclusion: Female patients discharged from hospital due to COVID-19, with longer hospital stays and hypertension should be monitored to identify the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome, enabling timely interventions.Palavras-chave (keywords):
Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome; risk factors; hospitalization; inpatients; severe acute respiratory syndromeLer versão inglês (english version)
Conteúdo (article):
Fatores de risco para a Síndrome pós-COVID-19 em hospitalizados por Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave: revisão Sistemática e metanáliseRisk factors for Post-COVID Syndrome in patients hospitalized for severe acute respiratory syndrome: systematic review and meta-analysis
Factores de riesgo del síndrome post-COVID-19 en pacientes hospitalizados por síndrome respiratorio agudo severo: revisión sistemática y metanálisis
RESUMO
Introdução: Este estudo tem como objetivo identificar os fatores de risco associados ao desenvolvimento da síndrome pós-COVID-19 em egressos de internações por Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave. Metodologia: Foi realizada revisão sistemática de estudos observacionais publicados entre 2020 e 2023 em seis bases de dados. Os valores dos riscos relativos de cada fator investigado foram avaliados na metanálise através do modelo de efeitos aleatórios. Resultados: 1.010 publicações foram identificadas, sendo 45 estudos incluídos na análise qualitativa e sete estudos na metanálise. Estes estudos avaliaram a associação entre a síndrome pós-COVID-19 e fatores como a gravidade e o número de sintomas da doença na fase aguda, o sexo e comorbidades prévias. Os resultados apontaram que o sexo feminino (RR 1,52; IC 95% 1,26-1,85), a presença de hipertensão (RR 1,25; IC 95% 1,06-1,49) e um maior tempo de internação (RR 1,01; IC 95% 1.01-1,03) estavam associados ao desenvolvimento da síndrome. Conclusão: Egressos de internação por COVID-19 do sexo feminino, com maior tempo de internação e hipertensão deverão ser monitorados para identificar o desenvolvimento da síndrome pós-COVID-19, possibilitando intervenções em tempo oportuno.
Palavras-chave: Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda; fatores de risco; hospitalização; pacientes internados; Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave.
ABSTRACT
Introduction: This study aims to identify the risk factors associated with the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome in patients discharged from hospitalizations due to severe acute respiratory syndrome. Methodology: A systematic review of observational studies published between 2020 and 2023 was carried out in six databases. The relative risk values of each investigated factor were evaluated in the meta-analysis using the random-effects model. Results: Our study identified 1,010 publications, with 45 studies included in the qualitative analysis and seven in the meta-analysis. These studies evaluated the association between post-COVID-19 syndrome and factors, such as the severity and number of symptoms of the disease in the acute phase, sex, and previous comorbidities. The results showed that the female gender (RR 1.52; 95% CI 1.26-1.85), the presence of hypertension (RR 1.25; 95% CI 1.06-1.49), and a longer hospital stay (RR 1.01; 95% CI 1.01-1.03) were associated with the development of the syndrome. Conclusion: Female patients discharged from hospital due to COVID-19, with longer hospital stays and hypertension should be monitored to identify the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome, thereby enabling timely interventions.
Keywords: Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome; risk factors; hospitalization; inpatients; severe acute respiratory syndrome
INTRODUCTION
COVID-19 infection was initially considered an acute pathology. However, by mid-2020, there were already reports of persistent symptoms in some individuals, which culminated in the creation of a new category in the international code of diseases to classify post-COVID-19 syndrome in September 2020.
Post-COVID-19 syndrome is defined by the World Health Organization (WHO) as the development of new symptoms for more than twelve weeks after the initial SARS-CoV-2 infection, with no other explanation. In 2021, the WHO estimated the prevalence of post-COVID-19 syndrome at 10% to 20%. However, in a systematic review of 57 studies involving 250,000 patients, more than half experienced post-acute sequelae six months after recovery. The most commonly reported symptoms were fever, fatigue, dyspnea, headache, cough, mental confusion, anxiety, depression, loss of smell and taste, joint pain, and arthralgia4. Another study that evaluated 1,007 participants found similar results5.
A meta-analysis of 20 studies and 13,340 patients reported that having a severe clinical condition during hospitalization increased the risk of post-COVID-19 syndrome6. However, there are still gaps in research into the risk factors for post-COVID-19 syndrome in hospitalized patients. Arnold et al.7 reported that 74% of the patients in their study presented at least one symptom three months after discharge, although lower prevalence rates have also been described7-9. Commonly reported risk factors were female gender, advanced age, and some medical comorbidities10.
Evidence suggests that individuals with this syndrome have higher mortality and healthcare use in the year following acute COVID-19 infection when compared to uninfected individuals11. This study aims to identify the risk factors associated with the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome in patients discharged from hospitalizations for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS).
METHODOLOGY
This review followed the PRISMA protocol and was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) under registration CRD4202341351512. The research question was formulated in the PECO (population, exposure, comparison, and outcome) format, with the following final formulation: "What are the risk factors for the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome in patients discharged from a hospital for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)?"
The review team received training on the review protocol and the process of article selection, data extraction, and synthesis, as well as on the use of the article’s quality assessment tool.
The criteria established for inclusion in the systematic review were longitudinal observational studies, such as cohorts and case-control studies, involving patients hospitalized for COVID-19 and followed up for at least 3 months. Articles published between January 1, 2020, and December 31, 2023, were analyzed. Clinical trials, editorials, systematic reviews, surveys, and commentaries were excluded.
Studies that evaluated exposure factors, such as sex, age, disease severity in the acute phase, nutritional status, medication exposure, comorbidities, smoking, alcoholism, obesity, sedentary lifestyle, presence of inflammatory changes, and genetic characteristics were included. The population that had not been exposed to the analyzed factors was considered a control group.
The search strategy combined MeSH (Medical Subject Headings) terms and keywords: "Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome" [MeSH] OR Long-COVID OR “Long Covid” OR “Post Covid syndrome” OR “Post Covid syndrome” OR “Long Covid-19” OR “Post-COVID conditions” OR “Covid Long”) AND ("Risk Factors" [MeSH] OR Risk Factors OR Predictor*) AND (Hospitalization OR Inpatients OR "Hospitalization" [MeSH] OR Hospitalized OR "Inpatients" [MeSH]).
Searches were conducted in Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, LILACS, SciELO, and Web of Science databases in May 2023. No restrictions were placed on language or country of publication. No additional searches were performed in the references of the studies included in the review or in the gray literature.
The retrieved articles were imported into the Rayyan QCRI reference manager13. These references were distributed to two reviewers, SRS and RSNS, who independently evaluated the titles and abstracts. Discrepancies between the reviews were resolved by reviewer AMF. The articles selected at this stage were fully analyzed by two review teams: SRS and RSNS, and LULB and FMC.
SRS and RSNS systematized information on: article identification elements, year of publication, journal of publication, study design, statistical methods used, risk factors identified, number of participants, duration of observation and follow-up, outcome characterization, main results, and study funding sources. A narrative synthesis was then performed based on this information.
The reviewers analyzed the risk of bias using the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute\'s Study Quality Assessment tools14, developed for evaluating cohort and case-control studies. The studies were classified as good, fair, or poor quality. The evaluations were carried out independently by two pairs of reviewers and disagreements were resolved through discussions to reach a consensus.
The results of the analyses of the association between the evaluated factors and the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome were presented with Odds Ratio (OR) or Relative Risk (RR) values and their respective 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).
For the meta-analysis, studies with similar outcomes, follow-up time, study type, and populations were selected, thus ensuring homogeneity across the studies analyzed. Cohort studies of adult populations, with follow-up time ranging from three to seven months, of good or fair quality, and that considered post-COVID-19 syndrome as an outcome, were selected. Studies that considered only specific symptoms of the syndrome were excluded.
Despite the methodological similarities, the studies presented variations in the factors investigated. Therefore, the quantitative synthesis considered the analysis of each factor studied individually, including only the studies selected for the meta-analysis that evaluated the highlighted factor. Analyses were only performed when the factor studied was evaluated in at least four of the articles selected for the meta-analysis.
The meta-analysis was conducted in R 4.0.3 (2020-10-10) and RStudio 2024.12.1+563, using the metadat and metafor packages15. Heterogeneity was quantified by the heterogeneity index (I²), interpreted according to the criteria defined by Higgins et al.16 The heterogeneity index describes the percentage of the total variation between studies that is due to heterogeneity rather than chance. I² is calculated from the results using the formula: I² = 100% × (Q - df) / Q, where Q is the Cochran heterogeneity statistic and df is the degrees of freedom. An I² value equal to 0% indicates the absence of heterogeneity, and higher values indicate increasing heterogeneity15. The authors used the random effects methodology with a Restricted Maximum Likelihood (REML) estimator in all analyses. Metafor calculates the p-value by testing H0: combined effect = 0, using a z-test based on the effect estimate and its standard error. The p-value is calculated as follows: pj=2×P(∣Z∣>∣zj∣)≈2×(1−Φ(∣zj∣)) where Φ\PhiΦ is the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) of the standard normal15. The results were presented through forest plot graphs, generated by the metafor package.
RESULTS
A total of 1,010 publications were identified in the databases; 232 were duplicates (Figure 1). Screening the title and abstract of the remaining 778 publications resulted in the inclusion of 109 citations for full-article reading, with the exclusion of articles not relevant to the review, as described in Figure 1. After reviewing the complete articles, 64 articles were excluded (Figure 1). The 45 articles included consisted of 121,330 participants. After analysis, seven articles were selected for the meta-analysis (Figure 1). The following factors were evaluated as being associated with the development of a post-COVID-19 syndrome: female gender, length of hospital stay, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and the presence of hypertension or diabetes as a comorbidity prior to SARS-CoV-2 infection. The heterogeneity index (I²) was 67.85% in the analysis of studies that considered the female sex (p = 0.0031), 30.60% in the evaluation of ICU admission as a predictor of the syndrome (p = 0.269), and 28.96% in the analysis regarding hypertension (p = 0.167), as can be seen in Figure 2. The I² index was 0.00% in the evaluation of the length of hospital stay (p = 0.751) and for the analysis of diabetes as a predisposing factor (p = 0.901), as can be seen in Figure 2. The results of the meta-analysis indicate the female sex (RR 1.52; 95% CI 1.26-1.85), the presence of hypertension (RR 1.25; 95% CI 1.06-1.49), and the longer length of hospital stay in the acute phase (RR 1.01; 95% CI 1.01-1.03) as risk factors, as can be seen in Figure 2.
Study Characteristics
The characteristics of the selected publications are described in Table 1. Cohort studies represented 93.33% of the publications. The review studies were conducted in twenty-one different countries, with 22.22% being developed in Spain.
Most studies (51.11%) had a mean follow-up time between 3 and 6 months (Table 1). As seen in Table 1, three studies analyzed risk factors only in children and adolescents under 18 years of age32,53,54. The largest available sample included 89,843 participants in a cohort of patients discharged from hospitals due to confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the United States.
The most common persistent symptoms were: fatigue, cough, dyspnea, yearsmia, musculoskeletal pain, ageusia, diarrhea, anxiety, depression, palpitations, arthralgia, and chest pain (Figure 3). More than half of the studies (57.77%) presented fair-quality analyses. The findings of the articles are summarized in Table 1 of the Supplementary Material.
Post-COVIA-19 syndrome and sex
Being female was a risk factor for developing anxiety, depression, fatigue, and sleep disorders as symptoms of post-COVID-19 syndrome. A 2022 study by Fenández-de-las-Peñas C. et al. associated being female with the presence of three or more symptoms of post-COVID-19 syndrome. In a cohort study conducted in Brazil, being female increased the likelihood of developing post-COVID-19 syndrome at three and six months of follow-up. There was a higher prevalence of skin problems, pain, neuropsychiatric symptoms, and fatigue at six months in the female population.
Post-COVID-19 syndrome and symptoms in the acute phase
Respiratory problems early in the illness or during hospitalization were predictors of post-COVID-19 syndrome in two Iranian studies18,19. The presence of vomiting, sore throat, diarrhea, dyspnea, and headache were associated with a higher number of long-term symptoms after COVID-1951. The development of symptoms, such as fatigue, headache, ageusia, and shortness of breath upon admission were considered independent predictors of the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome37.
Myalgia and headache in the acute phase have been described as risk factors for musculoskeletal pain associated with post-COVID-19 syndrome21,58. A higher number of symptoms during acute illness was a risk factor reported in seven articles.
Post-COVID-19 syndrome and severity of the acute conditions
The severity of COVID-19 in the acute phase has been associated with the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome17,25,39,46,53,54,56. Huang C. et al. report that severe COVID-19 is a risk factor for anxiety, depression, fatigue, and weakness17. Patients with moderate to severe COVID-19 had a 5.84-fold greater risk of post-COVID cognitive impairment when compared to patients with mild respiratory illness39. Sun LL et al. point out that severe patients have a higher risk of chest tightness, chest pain, and photophobia46. Shorter hospital stays are a protective factor against the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome symptoms19,21,25,26,28,35,48,51,55,58,59. Studies also suggest a relationship between longer hospital stays and the development of musculoskeletal pain21,58 and post-COVID-19 dyspnea26. Two cohort studies described a greater likelihood of fatigue and persistent dyspnea in people with more severe forms of COVID-1926,58. Length of hospital stay was a predictor of the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome and cardiopulmonary sequelae, such as dyspnea and fatigue59. Finally, only two studies found no statistical significance between length of hospital stay and symptoms of post-COVID-19 syndrome24,30.
Nine articles analyzed the relationship between Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission and post-COVID-19 syndrome19,22,24,25,30,33,35,55,59. Of these, four studies showed no statistical difference in the risk of developing the syndrome between the groups admitted and not admitted to the ICU19,24,25,30. In the other studies, it was identified that ICU admission would be a risk factor for post-COVID-19 syndrome, with OR ranging from 1.68 to 5.6322,33,35,55,59. Ghosh P et al., Frontera J.A. et al., and Niebauer J.H. et al. identified that mechanical ventilation during hospitalization was a predictor of post-COVID-19 syndrome, with odds ratios of OR 2.29, OR 6.37, and OR 5.63, respectively33,34,59.
Post-COVID-19 syndrome, comorbidities, and age
Seven studies demonstrated that the number of comorbidities was a predictor of Post-COVID-19 Syndrome26,28,33,45,51,54,56. There was an association between a greater number of comorbidities and the development of fatigue and dyspnea26,44. A study by Ghosh P. et al. identified that the presence of at least one comorbidity was associated with Post-COVID-19 Syndrome33.
Regarding diabetes, three of the five studies evaluated found no association between this condition and Post-COVID-19 Syndrome20,24,27. A study in adults found that diabetes was a risk factor for the development of fatigue and anxiety as symptoms of Post-COVID-1945. A study in children demonstrated that diabetes was a risk factor for Post-COVID-19 Syndrome33.
Two articles found an association between systemic arterial hypertension and the development of Post-COVID-19 Syndrome41,49. Cardiovascular diseases were risk factors addressed in four articles27,38,45,53, and only in the study by Schouborg L.B. et al. was a relationship found between hypertension and the loss of functional status in heart disease patients38.
The absence of lung disease was a protective factor against post-COVID-19 functional status loss. A study by Gaspar P. et al., which evaluated the presence of post-COVID-19 symptoms for three, six, and nine months, only identified an association between lung disease and post-COVID-19 syndrome in the group with the longest follow-up time (OR 3.27). Seery V. et al. found that respiratory diseases are risk factors for post-COVID-19 syndrome, a result similar to those described by Pazukhina E. et al. regarding allergic respiratory diseases. Two studies have shown a relationship between COPD and the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome. No article identified smoking as a risk factor for the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome. Kidney disease was associated with post-COVID-19 syndrome. Only in the study by Pazukhina E. et al. were neurological diseases associated with the syndrome in children at six and twelve months of age41.
Excess weight can contribute to the development of fatigue or exertional dyspnea59. A body mass index (BMI) of between 35 and 40 kg/m² or greater than 40 kg/m² has been associated with post-COVID-19 syndrome36. Dias M.B. et al. reported that a higher BMI is a predictor of post-COVID-19 syndrome in patients over 50 years of age55.
Age was described as a risk factor for post-COVID-19 syndrome in hospitalized patients in five articles. In a case-control study by Azizi et al., age was associated with worse anxiety and depression scores in the three months following hospitalization44. In the cohort study by Osmanov et al., a difference was observed in the development of the syndrome between groups of older children as compared to children under 2 years of age32. There was no statistically significant difference between the groups in the other publications11,22,24,25,27,30,31.
Post-COVID-19 syndrome and immunological and genetic markers
Inflammatory, immunological, and genetic markers have been correlated in some articles with post-COVID-19 syndrome22,27,31. A proportional increase in anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG 6 months after infection was a risk factor for the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome22. García-Abellán J. et al. identified a lower peak in anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG as a protective factor31. Kurki et al. identified the presence of the APOE4 allele as a risk factor for mental fatigue.
Post-COVID-19 syndrome and social and economic factors.
Black individuals, with less than 12 years of schooling34,40 and the presence of stressors were independent predictors of neurocognitive outcomes related to post-COVID-19 syndrome34.
DISCUSSION
Studies indicate that female gender, clinical characteristics during the acute phase of the disease, length of hospital stay, and some medical comorbidities have been associated with the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome.
Studies indicate that men and women are equally likely to be infected with SARS-CoV-2, and that men have a higher risk of death during the acute phase of the disease10,61. A significant proportion of the studies in the systematic review (48.88%) demonstrated that being female represents a predisposition to the development of specific symptoms or post-COVID-19 syndrome50,56. These findings were also found in other systematic reviews that included non-hospitalized patients7,11,62.
It has been suggested that hormones may play a role in the continuation of the hyperinflammatory state of the acute phase of COVID-19 even after recovery, and that there is greater production of IgG antibodies in acute COVID-19 in women, which could trigger the post-COVID-19 syndrome63. The proportional increase in anti-SARS CoV-2 IgG was an independent risk factor for the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome. Another study found that the lower peak in anti-SARS CoV-2 IgG was a protective factor. Furthermore, biological differences between men and women in the expression of angiotensin-converting enzyme-2 (ACE-2) and transmembrane serine protease-2 (TMPRSS2) receptors, as well as the lower production of pro-inflammatory interleukin-6 (IL-6) after viral infection in women, may explain the greater development of post-COVID-19 symptoms50.
Studies speculate that severe COVID-19 causes a more intense and significant immune response and cytokine release, causing damage to vital and non-vital organs. Furthermore, severe acute illness is treated more aggressively and is more commonly associated with iatrogenic damage (intubation, nosocomial infections, drug side effects, etc.) with lasting sequelae19. Glucocorticoid treatment during hospitalization was significantly associated with an increased risk of fatigue and anxiety in the study by Sun LL et al.46
The role of age in the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome is still controversial10. Most studies evaluating advanced age as a risk factor for post-COVID-19 syndrome have shown no association9,22-25,27,30,31,32,43,45,53,54,56.
A greater number of comorbidities acted as a predictor of the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome26,28,33,44,51,54,56. However, only some studies showed an association between specific pathologies and the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome23,33,38,41,45,49,53. The fact that the number of comorbidities showed a more consistent association with post-COVID-19 syndrome when compared to specific comorbidities indicates a more complex relationship between the syndrome and patients’ preconditions, which requires further study.
The risk of developing post-COVID-19 syndrome has also been associated with inflammatory markers22,31 and genetic elements27. The association between higher levels of inflammatory markers and the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome suggests that an exacerbated immune response may be related to this disease.
Socioeconomic and demographic factors also constituted predictors of the syndrome, highlighting the need to better evaluate the association of social determinants with post-COVID-19 syndrome.
This study has some limitations, the first of which is the possibility that not all studies on post-COVID-19 syndrome were selected due to the lack of gray literature searches or references of the included articles. More than half of the studies included in the meta-analysis were of fair quality. There is a concentration of studies in a few countries, and many of the studies were written by the same groups of authors. This lack of diversity among the studied populations may limit the analysis of factors associated with post-COVID-19 syndrome in global populations, reducing the external validity of the results found here. Even considering the use of a similar concept of post-COVID-19 syndrome, the list of symptoms used to characterize the syndrome may differ, as several of the studies evaluated in the qualitative analysis analyzed the role of participant characteristics and the development of specific symptoms or sets of symptoms. Another relevant limitation concerns the possibility of classification bias due to the wide range of nonspecific symptoms that characterize the syndrome, but which may be associated with other pathologies. Another notable limitation is the difficulty in evaluating factors, such as the number and type of symptoms as predictors of the syndrome in the meta-analysis due to differences in the measurement of these variables across studies.
The qualitative analysis identified individual studies that point to factors associated with the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome, such as female gender, clinical characteristics during hospitalization (number of symptoms, length of stay, disease severity), and previous comorbidities. Furthermore, the articles do not conclusively address the fact that age, socioeconomic and demographic factors, and some specific comorbidities, such as obesity and smoking, significantly influence the risk of developing post-COVID-19 syndrome in patients discharged from the hospital.
The risk factors identified in this review were female gender, hypertension, and length of hospital stay, and can be used as parameters to identify patients at greater risk of developing post-COVID-19 syndrome. Thus, a personalized monitoring strategy can be established, enabling improved care during the convalescence phase, especially for individuals with these characteristics. Furthermore, based on the data described here, it is clear that there is a need to restructure the healthcare network due to the new health needs defined by the post-pandemic scenario. Finally, we suggest conducting cohort studies to analyze risk factors for the development of post-COVID-19 syndrome in a wider range of countries, including Brazil. Considering the high prevalence of post-COVID-19 syndrome, it is imperative to expand the number of studies on interventions capable of reducing the impact of observed symptoms on people\'s lives.
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