0207/2019 - Padrões espaciais e temporais da mortalidade de motociclistas em estado do nordeste brasileiro no século XXI. Spatial and temporal patterns of mortality of motorcyclists in state of Northeast Brazilian in the 21 century.
Este trabalho objetivou analisar a tendência e a distribuição espacial da mortalidade de motociclistas em acidentes de transporte no estado de Alagoas. Trata-se de um estudo ecológico referente a todos os óbitos decorrentes de acidentes motociclísticos no estado no período 2001-2015. Os dados de mortalidade foram obtidos do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade (SIM). As taxas de mortalidade foram calculadas e estratificadas por sexo. Para a análise de tendência, foi empregado o modelo de regressão por pontos de inflexão. Calculou-se a Variação Percentual Anual (VPA). Significância de 5%. Para a análise espacial, aplicou-se modelagem bayesiana empírica local, estatística de Moran e estatística de varredura espacial. Foram registrados 1.458 óbitos de motociclistas no período estudado, sendo 91,3% homens. Três comportamentos temporais foram observados nessa população: crescimento (2001-2005), padrão estacionário (2005-2013) e declínio a partir de 2013. As maiores taxas foram observadas no agreste e sertão. Cinco aglomerados espaciais foram evidenciados no que se refere à mortalidade geral e masculina, todos situados no agreste e sertão alagoanos. A modelagem mostrou redução da mortalidade a partir de 2013 e a análise espacial evidenciou que o problema é mais grave no interior do estado.
Palavras-chave:
Acidentes de Trânsito. Estudos ecológicos. Registros de mortalidade.
Abstract:
His work aimed to analyze the trend and distribution of mortality of motorcyclists in traffic accidents in the state of Alagoas. This is an ecological study referring to all deaths due to motorcycle accidents in the state in the period 2001-2015. Mortality data were obtainedthe Mortality Information System (SIM). Mortality rates were calculated and stratified by sex. For trend analysis, the joinpoint regression model was used. The Annual Percent Change (VPA) was calculated. Significance of 5%. For the spatial analysis, local empirical bayesian modeling, Moran statistics and spatial scanning statistics were applied. There were 1,458 deaths of motorcyclists in the period studied, of which 91.3% were men. Three temporal behaviors were observed in this population: growth(2001-2005), stationary pattern (2005-2013) and decline2013. The highest rates were observed in the agreste and sertão of Alagoas. Five spatial clusters were evidenced with regard to general and male mortality, all located in the agreste and sertão of Alagoas. The modeling showed reduction of mortality2013 and the spatial analysis showed that the problem is more serious in the interior of the state.
Spatial and temporal patterns of mortality of motorcyclists in state of Northeast Brazilian in the 21 century.
Resumo (abstract):
His work aimed to analyze the trend and distribution of mortality of motorcyclists in traffic accidents in the state of Alagoas. This is an ecological study referring to all deaths due to motorcycle accidents in the state in the period 2001-2015. Mortality data were obtainedthe Mortality Information System (SIM). Mortality rates were calculated and stratified by sex. For trend analysis, the joinpoint regression model was used. The Annual Percent Change (VPA) was calculated. Significance of 5%. For the spatial analysis, local empirical bayesian modeling, Moran statistics and spatial scanning statistics were applied. There were 1,458 deaths of motorcyclists in the period studied, of which 91.3% were men. Three temporal behaviors were observed in this population: growth(2001-2005), stationary pattern (2005-2013) and decline2013. The highest rates were observed in the agreste and sertão of Alagoas. Five spatial clusters were evidenced with regard to general and male mortality, all located in the agreste and sertão of Alagoas. The modeling showed reduction of mortality2013 and the spatial analysis showed that the problem is more serious in the interior of the state.
Mariano, R.S, Souza, C.D.F, Machado, M.F, Quirino, T.R.L, Leal, T.C, Paiva, J.P.S, Magalhães, A.P.N, Santos, V.S, Magalhães, M.A.F.M, Silva, R.R, Yamashita, M. Padrões espaciais e temporais da mortalidade de motociclistas em estado do nordeste brasileiro no século XXI.. Cien Saude Colet [periódico na internet] (2019/jul). [Citado em 22/12/2024].
Está disponível em: http://cienciaesaudecoletiva.com.br/artigos/padroes-espaciais-e-temporais-da-mortalidade-de-motociclistas-em-estado-do-nordeste-brasileiro-no-seculo-xxi/17281?id=17281
