0014/2021 - COVID-19 NO NORDESTE DO BRASIL: ENTRE O LOCKDOWN E O RELAXAMENTO DAS MEDIDAS DE DISTANCIAMENTO SOCIAL COVID-19 IN NORTHEAST BRAZIL: BETWEEN LOCKDOWN AND RELAXATION OF SOCIAL DISTANCING MEASURES
Apesar da pandemia de COVID-19 encontrar-se em crescimento no Nordeste do Brasil, persiste o debate sobre a flexibilização das medidas de distanciamento social. O objetivo do estudo foi avaliar, à luz da situação epidemiológico-sanitária da região, a pertinência das propostas de flexibilização do distanciamento social. Tendo como referência as diretrizes da OMS para flexibilização do distanciamento social, foram construídos e analisados indicadores operacionais para cada diretriz, no contexto da região Nordeste. Para análise do comportamento da epidemia, conforme indicadores selecionados, foram usadas técnicas de Joinpoint Trend Analysis, mapas de calor, razão de taxas e comparação da tendência temporal entre capitais e interior dos estados. O pico do crescimento diário ocorreu em março-abril/2020, mas não se observou tendência decrescente dos casos ou óbitos por 14 dias. Em todos os estados o quantitativo de testes realizados foi insuficiente. Na semana epidemiológica 24 os percentuais estaduais de ocupação de leitos de UTI/COVID-19 foram próximos ou superiores 70%. Os tempos e velocidades de crescimento da epidemia variaram entre estados e entre áreas do mesmo estado. A situação epidemiológica dos Estados do Nordeste, aqui analisada, não se enquadra nos critérios e parâmetros compatíveis com a recomendação de flexibilização das medidas de distanciamento social.
Palavras-chave:
COVID-19; distanciamento social; coronavirus; Nordeste Brasil, epidemia
Abstract:
Although the COVID-19 pandemic is growing in the Northeast of Brazil, there is still a debate about the easing of social distancing measures. The aim of the study was to assess, in the light of the epidemiological-sanitary situation in the region, the pertinence of the proposals for relaxation of social distancing rules in this Region. Based on the WHO guidelines for relaxation of social distance, operational indicators were built and analyzed for each of the guidelines, in the context of the Northeast region. To analyze the behavior of the epidemic, according to ed indicators, Joinpoint Trend Analysis techniques, heat maps, rate ratios and comparison of the time trend between capitals and the interior of the states were used. The peak of the epidemic daily growth occurred in March-April / 2020, but there was no downward trend in cases or deaths over 14 days. In all states the number of tests performed was insufficient. In the epidemiological week 24, the state percentages of occupancy of ICU / COVID-19 beds were close to or above 70%. The period and growth rate of the epidemic varied between states and between areas of the same state. The epidemiological situation of the Northeastern States, analyzed here, does not fit the criteria and parameters compatible with the recommendation of relaxation of the social distancing measures.
Keywords:
COVID-19; social distancing; coronavirus; northeast Brazil, epidemic
COVID-19 IN NORTHEAST BRAZIL: BETWEEN LOCKDOWN AND RELAXATION OF SOCIAL DISTANCING MEASURES
Resumo (abstract):
Although the COVID-19 pandemic is growing in the Northeast of Brazil, there is still a debate about the easing of social distancing measures. The aim of the study was to assess, in the light of the epidemiological-sanitary situation in the region, the pertinence of the proposals for relaxation of social distancing rules in this Region. Based on the WHO guidelines for relaxation of social distance, operational indicators were built and analyzed for each of the guidelines, in the context of the Northeast region. To analyze the behavior of the epidemic, according to ed indicators, Joinpoint Trend Analysis techniques, heat maps, rate ratios and comparison of the time trend between capitals and the interior of the states were used. The peak of the epidemic daily growth occurred in March-April / 2020, but there was no downward trend in cases or deaths over 14 days. In all states the number of tests performed was insufficient. In the epidemiological week 24, the state percentages of occupancy of ICU / COVID-19 beds were close to or above 70%. The period and growth rate of the epidemic varied between states and between areas of the same state. The epidemiological situation of the Northeastern States, analyzed here, does not fit the criteria and parameters compatible with the recommendation of relaxation of the social distancing measures.
Palavras-chave (keywords):
COVID-19; social distancing; coronavirus; northeast Brazil, epidemic
Ximenes, R.A.A, Albuquerque, M.F.P.M, Martelli, C. M. T., Thália, V.B. de A., Filho, D.B.M, SOUZA, W.V., Ichihara, M.Y.T, Lira, Pedro, Kerr, L. R. F. S., Aquino, E.M.L, Silva, A.A.M., Almeida,Rosa Lívia Freitas de, Kendall, C., Pescarini, J.M., Brandão Filho, S. P., Almeida Filho, N., Oliveira, J. F., Santos, C. A. de S. T., Jorge, D.C.P, Santana. J. G., Gabrielli, L, Rodrigues, M. M. S., Silva, N.J., Souza, R. F. da S., da Silva, V. A. F., Barreto, M.L. COVID-19 NO NORDESTE DO BRASIL: ENTRE O LOCKDOWN E O RELAXAMENTO DAS MEDIDAS DE DISTANCIAMENTO SOCIAL. Cien Saude Colet [periódico na internet] (2021/jan). [Citado em 22/12/2024].
Está disponível em: http://cienciaesaudecoletiva.com.br/artigos/covid19-no-nordeste-do-brasil-entre-o-lockdown-e-o-relaxamento-das-medidas-de-distanciamento-social/17913?id=17913
