Author:

• Alanna Gomes da Silva - Silva, A. G. - <alannagomessilva@gmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2587-5658

Co-author(s):

• Renato Teixeira Azeredo - Azeredo, R. T. - <renato115@yahoo.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1259-6812
• Elton Junio Sady Prates - Prates, E.J.S - <elton.junior@hotmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5049-186X
• Deborah Carvalho Malta - Malta, D.C. - <dcmalta@uol.com.br>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8214-5734

Abstract:

To monitor the trends and projections of targets for risk and protection factors for coping with noncommunicable diseases in Brazilian capitals and to verify whether the economic crisis and austerity policies have interfered with the behavior of these targets. Time series study with datathe Surveillance System for Risk and Protective Factors for Chronic Diseases by Telephone Survey. Were analyzed trends in the prevalence of smokers, obesity, physical activity, consumption of fruits and vegetables and harmful use of alcohol, and their projections until 2025. Prais-Winsten regression was used. It was used The Interrupted Time Series, considering 2006 to 2014 and 2015 to 2019. Between 2006 and 2014, there was a reduction in smokers (15.6 to 10.8%), increase in obesity (11.8 to 17.9%), consumption of fruits and vegetables (20.0 to 24.1%), physical activity (29.9 to 35.3%) and alcohol use (15.6 to 16.5%). Most indicators have shown performance worse since 2015. According to projections, the targets for reduce obesity and the harmful use of alcohol will not be achieved. There were changes in the indicators profiles which reinforces the importance of the continuous monitoring and sustainability of actions, policies and programs to promote health, and control these diseases and their risk factors.

Keywords:

Noncommunicable Diseases; Risk Factors; Protective Factors; Interrupted Time Series Analysis; Economic Recession.

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