Author:

• Márcio Cristiano de Melo - Melo, M.C. - Campinas, SP - <enf.marciomelo@gmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9840-0309

Co-author(s):

• Valéria Correia de Almeida - Almeida, V.C - <valcalmeida@gmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4027-7835
• Maria Rita Donalisio - Donalisio, Maria Rita - <rita.donalisio@gmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4457-9897

Abstract:

The objective of this study was to analyze the temporal trend of the incidence coefficients of HIV-AIDS infection through a retrospective ecological study and segmented regression in the 13-year-olds reported at SINAN between 1980 and 2016. Of the 14,204 reported cases, 70.9% were male and 39.5% were white. It is noted rising incidence of AIDS criteria 1986 to 1996 with Annual Percentual Change (APC) of 108.5% per year between 1983 and 1989 (CI: 90.3 - 128.4), between 1989 and 1998 the APC was 13.2% (CI: 8.2 - 18.3) and APC reduction in the period 1998 to 2016, -6.2% (CI: -7.4 - -4.9). High coefficients of the death criteria between 1988 and 2002 (4.7 / 100,000 inhabitants), with a marked drop after 1995. It is observed growth of HIV + criteria2000, reaching 30.2 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2016. Although incidence rates still remain high in the municipality, these trends are consistent with the positive impact of early detection policies and access to clinical and therapeutic follow-up of individuals with HIV and AIDS in the city.

Keywords:

Incidence; AIDS; HIV; Disease Notification; Health Information Systems.

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