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0067/2022 - THE EFFECT OF AIR TEMPERATURE ON MORTALITY FROM CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES IN BRAZIL BETWEEN 1996-2017
O EFEITO DA TEMPERATURA DO AR NA MORTALIDADE POR DOENÇAS CEREBROVASCULARES NO BRASIL ENTRE 1996-2017

Author:

• Mikaela Santos Mascarenhas - Mascarenhas, M. S. - <mikaelamascarenhas@gmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0474-5512

Co-author(s):

• Diego Duque da Silva - Silva, D. D. - <diegoduque2013@gmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3978-5859
• Mário Círio Nogueira - Nogueira, M.C - <mario.cirio.nogueira@gmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9688-4557
• William Cossich Marcial de Farias - Farias, W. C. M. - <wcossich@lamma.ufrj.br, william.cossich2@unibo.it>
ORCID: http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0349-1488
• Cássia de Castro Martins Ferreira - Ferreira, C. C. M. - <cassia.castro@ufjf.edu>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6070-7257
• Letícia de Castro Martins Ferreira - Ferreira, L. de C. M. - <leticiacmferreira@gmail.com>
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2916-4477


Abstract:

Cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) are among the main causes of mortality in the world and air temperature is one of their risk factors, although their relationship has been poor studied in Brazil. This article aims to investigate the relationship between air temperature and CVD mortality in 10 microregions in the five large Brazilian regions. A time series study was carried out with daily deathsCVD and the daily mean air temperature in the period 1996 to 2017. Datathe Department of Informatics of the SUS (DATASUS) and generalized additive models with Poisson distribution were used and the relative and attributable risks were estimated (with a confidence interval of 95%) up to a lag of 14 days with DLNM models (distributed lag non-linear models). In the period there were 531,733 deathsCVD in these microregions, of which 21,220 (11,138-30,546) were attributable to air temperature. Minimum mortality temperatures ranged20.1°C in Curitiba to 29.6°C in Belém. Associations between suboptimal air temperatures and increased risk of death were observed in all five Brazilian regions, highlighting Manaus with relative risk (RR) 1.53 (1.22-1.91) and Campo Grande with RR 1.52 (1.18-1.94) in the cold, and Manaus with RR 1.75 (1.35-2.26 ) and Brasília with RR 1.36 (1.15-1.60) in the heat.

Keywords:

Stroke; Mortality; Temperature; Climate.

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Mascarenhas, M. S., Silva, D. D., Nogueira, M.C, Farias, W. C. M., Ferreira, C. C. M., Ferreira, L. de C. M.. THE EFFECT OF AIR TEMPERATURE ON MORTALITY FROM CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES IN BRAZIL BETWEEN 1996-2017. Cien Saude Colet [periódico na internet] (2022/Apr). [Citado em 21/01/2025]. Está disponível em: http://cienciaesaudecoletiva.com.br/en/articles/the-effect-of-air-temperature-on-mortality-from-cerebrovascular-diseases-in-brazil-between-19962017/18323?id=18323



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