0067/2022 - O EFEITO DA TEMPERATURA DO AR NA MORTALIDADE POR DOENÇAS CEREBROVASCULARES NO BRASIL ENTRE 1996-2017 THE EFFECT OF AIR TEMPERATURE ON MORTALITY FROM CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES IN BRAZIL BETWEEN 1996-2017
As doenças cerebrovasculares (DCV) estão entre as principais causas de mortalidade no mundo e a temperatura do ar é um dos seus fatores de risco, embora sua relação seja pouco estudada no Brasil. Este artigo objetiva investigar a relação entre temperatura do ar e mortalidade por DCV em 10 microrregiões nas cinco grandes regiões brasileiras. Foi realizado estudo de séries temporais com os óbitos diários por DCV e a média diária de temperatura do ar no período de 1996 a 2017. Foram utilizados modelos aditivos generalizados com distribuição de Poisson e os riscos relativos e atribuíveis foram estimados (com intervalo de confiança de 95%) até uma defasagem de 14 dias com modelos DLNM (distributed lag non-linear models). No período ocorreram 531.733 óbitos por DCV nestas microrregiões, dos quais 21.220 (11.138-30.546) atribuíveis à temperatura do ar. As temperaturas de mortalidade mínima variaram entre 20,1°C em Curitiba a 29,6°C em Belém. Foram observadas associações entre temperaturas não ótimas do ar e aumento no risco de óbito em todas as cinco regiões brasileiras, destacando Manaus com risco relativo (RR) 1,53 (1,22-1,91) e Campo Grande com RR 1,52 (1,18-1,94) no frio, e Manaus com RR 1,75 (1,35-2,26) e Brasília com RR 1,36 (1,15-1,60) no calor.
Cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) are among the main causes of mortality in the world and air temperature is one of their risk factors, although their relationship has been poor studied in Brazil. This article aims to investigate the relationship between air temperature and CVD mortality in 10 microregions in the five large Brazilian regions. A time series study was carried out with daily deathsCVD and the daily mean air temperature in the period 1996 to 2017. Datathe Department of Informatics of the SUS (DATASUS) and generalized additive models with Poisson distribution were used and the relative and attributable risks were estimated (with a confidence interval of 95%) up to a lag of 14 days with DLNM models (distributed lag non-linear models). In the period there were 531,733 deathsCVD in these microregions, of which 21,220 (11,138-30,546) were attributable to air temperature. Minimum mortality temperatures ranged20.1°C in Curitiba to 29.6°C in Belém. Associations between suboptimal air temperatures and increased risk of death were observed in all five Brazilian regions, highlighting Manaus with relative risk (RR) 1.53 (1.22-1.91) and Campo Grande with RR 1.52 (1.18-1.94) in the cold, and Manaus with RR 1.75 (1.35-2.26 ) and Brasília with RR 1.36 (1.15-1.60) in the heat.
THE EFFECT OF AIR TEMPERATURE ON MORTALITY FROM CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES IN BRAZIL BETWEEN 1996-2017
Resumo (abstract):
Cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) are among the main causes of mortality in the world and air temperature is one of their risk factors, although their relationship has been poor studied in Brazil. This article aims to investigate the relationship between air temperature and CVD mortality in 10 microregions in the five large Brazilian regions. A time series study was carried out with daily deathsCVD and the daily mean air temperature in the period 1996 to 2017. Datathe Department of Informatics of the SUS (DATASUS) and generalized additive models with Poisson distribution were used and the relative and attributable risks were estimated (with a confidence interval of 95%) up to a lag of 14 days with DLNM models (distributed lag non-linear models). In the period there were 531,733 deathsCVD in these microregions, of which 21,220 (11,138-30,546) were attributable to air temperature. Minimum mortality temperatures ranged20.1°C in Curitiba to 29.6°C in Belém. Associations between suboptimal air temperatures and increased risk of death were observed in all five Brazilian regions, highlighting Manaus with relative risk (RR) 1.53 (1.22-1.91) and Campo Grande with RR 1.52 (1.18-1.94) in the cold, and Manaus with RR 1.75 (1.35-2.26 ) and Brasília with RR 1.36 (1.15-1.60) in the heat.
Mascarenhas, M. S., Silva, D. D., Nogueira, M.C, Farias, W. C. M., Ferreira, C. C. M., Ferreira, L. de C. M.. O EFEITO DA TEMPERATURA DO AR NA MORTALIDADE POR DOENÇAS CEREBROVASCULARES NO BRASIL ENTRE 1996-2017. Cien Saude Colet [periódico na internet] (2022/abr). [Citado em 22/12/2024].
Está disponível em: http://cienciaesaudecoletiva.com.br/artigos/o-efeito-da-temperatura-do-ar-na-mortalidade-por-doencas-cerebrovasculares-no-brasil-entre-19962017/18323?id=18323&id=18323
